Negotiators from the government and the “Central General Staff” (EMC)—the group of FARC dissidents that rejected the peace accord before its 2016 signing—completed a third, ten-day round of negotiations on January 18. Commitments included a dissident pledge to cease recruiting minors, a government pledge to evaluate the situation of jailed EMC members, and steps toward a negotiating agenda that will include environmental issues. They also ratified earlier agreements to halt EMC kidnappings and to extend a bilateral ceasefire through July 15.
With support from the UN and OAS peace missions, four out of five regional offices for verification of the EMC ceasefire have now been established: in Arauca, Santander, Meta, and Putumayo.
At the UN Security Council’s quarterly review of peace accord implementation in Colombia, on January 11, the U.S. representative withheld—for now—U.S. government support for including EMC ceasefire verification within the UN peace mission’s mandate. “These agreements still lack maturity,” said U.S. Acting Deputy Permanent Representative Elisabeth Millard.
Citing “intelligence reports,” El Tiempo estimated that the EMC “has, counting all its structures, 3,480 people in arms.”
- Camilo A. Castillo, “Con Acuerdos Sobre la Agenda y el Reclutamiento, se Cerro Tercer Ciclo Con Disidencias” (El Tiempo (Colombia), January 18, 2024).
- Camilo A. Castillo, “Listas Cuatro de las Cinco Oficinas Regionales para Verificar Tregua Con Disidencias” (El Tiempo (Colombia), January 17, 2024).
- Manuel Rueda, “Colombia Extends Cease-Fire With Farc Splinter Group in Bid to Reduce Rural Violence” (Associated Press, Associated Press, January 15, 2024).
- “Participacion y Temas Ambientales: Asi Avanza el Tercer Ciclo de Dialogo Con Disidencia” (El Espectador (Colombia), January 15, 2024).
- Ambassador Elisabeth Millard, Remarks at a un Security Council Briefing on Colombia (United States Mission to the United Nations, Thursday, January 11, 2024
- “Ee. Uu. Condiciona Ampliacion de Mandato de Mision de Onu para Verificar Cese Con Disidencia” (El Espectador (Colombia), January 11, 2024).
Representatives of the Security Council will visit Colombia in February, the UN body announced during its January 11 quarterly review of Colombia’s peace efforts.
- “Unsc Rep Pushes for Colombia Peace Agreement Execution” (United Nations, January 11, 2024).
- Camilo A. Castillo, “Miembros del Consejo de Seguridad de la Onu Visitaran Colombia en Febrero” (El Tiempo (Colombia), January 11, 2024).
- Camilo A. Castillo, “‘Es Necesario Avanzar en la Implementacion y en Iniciativas de Dialogo’: Ruiz Massieu” (El Tiempo (Colombia), January 11, 2024).
Government and ELN negotiators are to hold a sixth round of talks in Cuba from January 22 to February 6. High Commissioner for Peace Otty Patiño repeated the government’s insistence that the current ceasefire, which must be renewed by January 29, include an end to ELN kidnappings and the release of all remaining guerrilla captives.
The government reportedly gave the ELN a list of 26 kidnapped people whose release it demands. Army Sgt. Libey Danilo Bravo, whose the ELN kidnapped in Arauca for three weeks last February and March, told La Silla Vacía that the guerrillas took him to a makeshift prison across the border in Venezuela that they called “Alcatraz,” where they were holding ten other people.
ELN leader Antonio García said that the group would require government financing to sustain itself if it were to suspend ransom kidnappings while peace talks continue. Patiño said that the government would only seriously consider financing if the ELN committed to the conflict’s end “in a decisive and clear way.”
Between December 4 and January 3, the think-tank CERAC counted three ELN offensive actions considered to be ceasefire violations: a homicide, a kidnapping, and an armed attack on a vehicle.
- “Las Pullas del Gobierno Petro al Eln a Pocos Dias del Nuevo Ciclo de Dialogos en Cuba” (El Espectador (Colombia), January 18, 2024).
- ““Financiacion del Eln Dependera del Fin del Conflicto y de la Voluntad para Dejar las Armas”: Otty Patino” (Revista Cambio (Colombia), January 18, 2024).
- Camilo A. Castillo, “Otty Patino al Eln: ‘Plantearemos Financiacion Cuando se Avizore el Fin del Conflicto’” (El Tiempo (Colombia), January 17, 2024).
- “La Prorroga del Cese al Fuego Con el Eln Esta en Cuidados Intensivos” (Revista Cambio (Colombia), January 17, 2024).
- David Fernando Correal, “Informe de Incumplimientos y Violaciones del Cese el Fuego Bilateral Nacional y Temporal Con el Eln” (CERAC (Colombia), January 17, 2024).
- Armando Neira, “‘Acuerdos Con el Eln Son Claros y Estan por Escrito’: Gobierno Tras Palabras de Garcia” (El Tiempo (Colombia), December 27, 2023).
- Manuel Rueda, “Colombia’s Eln Rebels Say They Will Only Stop Kidnappings for Ransom if Government Funds Cease-Fire” (Associated Press, Associated Press, December 26, 2023).
- Armando Neira, “¿Es ‘Antonio Garcia’ el Palo en la Rueda para Negociacion Con el Eln? Analisis” (El Tiempo (Colombia), December 26, 2023).
- Santiago Rodriguez Alvarez, “En 2023 Colombia Recordo el Secuestro y Trazo una Linea Roja a la Paz” (La Silla Vacia (Colombia), December 22, 2023).
- Camilo A. Castillo, “Pablo Beltran Dice Que la Instruccion para el Eln Es Liberar a Todos los Secuestrados” (El Tiempo (Colombia), December 20, 2023).
President Gustavo Petro met with Pope Francis on January 19; he requested that a future round of ELN peace talks take place at the Vatican.
- “Gustavo Petro Buscara Que una Ronda de Negociacion Con el Eln Sea en el Vaticano” (El Espectador (Colombia), January 19, 2024).
- Aura Maria Saavedra Alvarez, “Las Propuestas y Claves del Encuentro Entre el Presidente Petro y el Papa Francisco” (El Tiempo (Colombia), January 19, 2024).
Otty Patiño expanded his staff at the High Commissioner for Peace office from 13 to 149 people, a number closer to the staffing strength that existed during the government of Iván Duque (2018-2022).
- “Los 136 Cargos Que Creo Presidencia por Decreto para el Alto Comisionado para la Paz” (El Espectador (Colombia), January 1, 2024).
- “Fuertes Criticas de la Oposicion a la Nueva Nomina de la Oficina del Comisionado de Paz” (El Tiempo (Colombia), January 2, 2024).
On January 14 in Pitalito, Huila, José Enrique Roa Cruz became the third FARC ex-combatant to be killed in 2024 and at least the 411th since the former guerrilla group’s 2017 demobilization. The UN Verification mission counted 47 killings in 2023, the fewest since 2017.
- “Confirman Asesinato de Jose Roa, Ex-Farc Que Fue Secuestrado Con Sus Escoltas” (El Espectador (Colombia), January 16, 2024).
- “Report of the Secretary General S/2023/1033, 27 September to 26 December 2023” (UN Verification Mission in Colombia, January 11, 2024).
- “Sigue el Riesgo para Firmantes de Paz: El 2024 Inicio Con Asesinato de un Ex-Farc” (El Espectador (Colombia), January 2, 2024).
The Petro government transferred 363 billion pesos (US$93 million) to the Presidency’s Implementation Unit, where it will go toward ex-combatant reintegration programs and the Territorially Focused Development Programs (PDET) foreseen in chapter 1 of the 2016 peace accord.
- “Gobierno Le Inyecto Otros $363 Mil Millones a la Implementacion del Acuerdo Con las Farc” (El Espectador (Colombia), January 18, 2024).
In addition to moving the ELN and EMC peace processes forward, in 2024 the Petro administration has big decisions to make about the future of talks with regional gangs, with the Segunda Marquetalia FARC dissident group, and with the Gulf Clan paramilitary structure, wrote Camilo Pardo and Cindy Morales at El Espectador. The Catholic Church’s representative to the peace process, Msgr. Héctor Fabio Henao, told El Espectador that no roadmap currently exists for eventual talks with the Segunda Marquetalia and the Gulf Clan.
- Camilo Pardo Quintero, Cindy A. Morales Castillo, “Lo Que se Viene en los Dialogos y Negociaciones de la Paz Total de Petro en 2024” (El Espectador (Colombia), January 2, 2024).
- Daniel Valero, ““El Orden Publico Es una Preocupacion”: Iglesia Catolica” (El Espectador (Colombia), January 15, 2024).
“Colombia’s quest for ‘total peace’…has become a thorny path, with some progress, but slower than President Gustavo Petro had anticipated,” according to an Associated Press analysis.
- Astrid Suarez, ““Paz Total” de Petro en Colombia Avanza Mas Despacio de Lo Esperado Luego de Atravesar Crisis” (Associated Press, Associated Press, December 25, 2023).