Here’s another border analysis (the first in, like, 5 days), this one looking into what might happen next now that a Trump-appointed judge has kept the “Title 42” pandemic expulsions policy in place.
Besides “some threatened people may be turned back and die,” the three consequences discussed here are:
- The number of migrants arriving at the U.S.-Mexico border each month is now very unlikely to decline. It will remain near historic highs
- Protection-seeking migrants will continue to be forced either to cross improperly, or to wait for many more months in dangerous Mexican border cities
- More migrants will come from “difficult-to-expel” countries, leaving Title 42 applied to only a minority of migrants