Developments
Mexican Army soldiers chased, then fired on, a truck carrying 33 migrants on the evening of October 1, killing 6 of them and wounding 12. The incident took place on the Pacific coastal highway in Huixtla, Chiapas, about 50 miles from Mexico’s border with Guatemala.
Mexico’s Defense Secretariat (SEDENA) issued a statement claiming that the migrants’ truck “evaded military personnel,” who suspected that it was tied to organized crime, which has become much more active in the state of Chiapas over the past year. That alone does not justify use of lethal force; the SEDENA statement contended that soldiers fired at the truck after hearing “detonations.”
The deceased victims were reportedly from Nepal, Egypt and Pakistan. Other migrants aboard the vehicle, including some of the wounded, came from Cuba, India, and what SEDENA called “Arab nationalities.” The Foreign Ministry of Peru claimed that one of the six fatalities was a Peruvian citizen.
SEDENA stated that the two soldiers who fired their weapons have been removed from their posts, and that both the civilian and military justice systems’ prosecutors are investigating. The incident heightens concerns about the Mexican government’s expanding placement of combat-trained soldiers in internal law-enforcement roles.
“People in mobility are exposed to great risks during their journey, that is why it is essential to have legal ways of access, transit and integration to avoid tragedies like this,” read a brief statement from UNHCR.
- “Sedena Informa Sobre Hechos Ocurridos en Chiapas” (Secretaria de Defensa Nacional (Mexico), October 2, 2024).
- Antonio Zebadua, “Disparan Militares a Migrantes en Villa Comaltitlan; 6 Muertos y 12 Heridos” (El Diario del Sur (Chiapas Mexico), October 2, 2024).
- Emiliano Rodriguez Mega, James Wagner, “Mexican Military Fatally Shoots Six Migrants” (The New York Times, October 2, 2024).
- Edgar H. Clemente, “6 Migrants Shot Dead Near Guatemalan Border When Mexican Army Troops Open Fire” (Associated Press, Associated Press, October 2, 2024).
- Lizbeth Diaz, “Six Migrants Die After Mexican Soldiers Fire on Pick-Up Truck” (Reuters, Reuters, October 2, 2024).
- “Mexican Soldiers Kill Six After Opening Fire on Truck Carrying Migrants” (Al Jazeera, October 3, 2024).
- Rob Corp, “Six Migrants Killed After Mexico Soldiers Open Fire” (BBC (UK), October 2, 2024).
- Angel Hernandez, “Peruano Murio en Agresion de Soldados a Migrantes en Chiapas” (Milenio (Mexico), October 2, 2024).
- Gabriela Coutino, “El Ejercito Mata en Chiapas a Migrantes de Egipto, Nepal y Pakistan” (Proceso (Mexico), October 2, 2024).
- Gloria Leticia DÍaz, “La Sedena Responsabiliza a Dos Soldados de los Disparos Contra Migrantes en Chiapas” (Proceso (Mexico), October 2, 2024).
- Gabriela Coutino, “Oim y Acnur Expresan su Preocupacion por Asesinato de Migrantes a Manos del Ejercito” (Proceso (Mexico), October 2, 2024).
- “Mata el Ejercito a Seis Migrantes en Chiapas al “Confundirlos”Con Crimen Organizado; Hay 10 Lesionados Mas” (Animal Politico (Mexico), October 2, 2024).
- Carlos Alvarez Acevedo, “Militares Asesinan a 6 Migrantes en Chiapas; Los Confundieron Con Delincuentes” (Revista Zeta (Tijuana Mexico), October 2, 2024).
- Fernando Ortiz, “Muerte-de-Migrantes en Operativo-Militar en-Chiapas-Preocupa a-Onu” (Milenio (Mexico), October 2, 2024).
- Mauricio Ortiz, “Indagan a Militares por Muerte de Migrantes en Huixtla, Chiapas” (Milenio (Mexico), October 2, 2024).
Border Report pointed out new FBI data showing that violent crime rates in Texas border cities are lower than the average for all cities. All Texas border communities have homicide rates below the 2023 U.S. national average of 5.7 per 100,000 inhabitants.
- Sandra Sanchez, “Texas Border Communities Again Safer From Violent Crimes, New Fbi Data Shows” (Border Report, October 2, 2024).
The Department of Homeland Security’s (DHS) annual Homeland Threat Assessment document, released October 2, warned that “over the next year, we expect some individuals with terrorism ties and some criminal actors will continue their efforts to exploit migration flows and the complex border security environment to enter the United States.”
- “Dhs’ 2025 Homeland Threat Assessment Indicates the Threat of Domestic and Foreign Terrorism in the Homeland Remains High” (Department of Homeland Security, October 2, 2024).
- Louis Casiano, “Illegal Immigrants With ‘Terrorism Ties’ Will Continue to Exploit Border, Homeland Security Report Warns” (Fox News, October 3, 2024).
- Victor Nava, “Dhs Threat Report Warns Migrants With ‘Terrorism Ties’ Will Continue to Exploit Border Crisis” (The New York Post, October 2, 2024).
In Washington, DC district court, a Trump-appointed judge ruled that the Biden administration violated environmental law when it halted border-wall construction in 2021. Judge Trevor McFadden argued that Biden’s border policies encouraged more migration, and migrants littered trash in border areas.
- Andrew Stanton, “Trump Judge Rules Biden Canceling Border Wall Broke Environmental Law” (Newsweek, October 2, 2024).
NewsNation reported, based on an internal Border Patrol alert, that the Northeast Cartel, active in parts of Mexico’s border state of Tamaulipas across from south Texas, has been using electronic devices to disrupt the agency’s surveillance drones.
- Ali Bradley, Jeff Arnold, “Mexican Cartels Using Devices to Disrupt U.S. Drones” (NewsNation, October 2, 2024).
Analyses and Feature Stories
The American Immigration Council (AIC) released a report about the potential cost of massively deporting undocumented migrants from the United States, which is a core campaign promise of Republican candidate Donald Trump.
It estimated that arresting, detaining, processing, and removing a million undocumented migrants each year would cost an annual total of $88 billion. It would total at least $315 billion for a one-time operation and $967.9 billion for a decade-long campaign.
Deporting about 4 percent of the U.S. workforce would cause the nation’s gross domestic product to “drop anywhere from 4.2% to 6.8%,” the AIC found; that is more than during the 2007-2009 “Great Recession.”
The report’s scope did not extend to the harder-to-quantify costs to human rights and democratic institutions that a mass-deportation campaign might entail, or the harm to U.S. civil-military relations if such a campaign were to mobilize Defense Department resources and personnel.
- “Mass Deportation: Devastating Costs to America, Its Budget and Economy” (American Immigration Council, October 2, 2024).
- Aaron Reichlin-Melnick, “New Report Shows the Devastating Costs of Mass Deportation” (American Immigration Council, October 2, 2024).
The ACLU has filed suit in federal court to obtain results of a Freedom of Information Act request about federal government capacity, and potential costs, of a “mass deportation” effort.
- Lauren Villagran, “Aclu Sues Feds, Questions Infrastructure for Mass Deportation” (USA Today, October 2, 2024).
The Associated Press fact-checked a column graph of U.S.-Mexico border migrant apprehensions that Republican candidate Donald Trump frequently displays at campaign events; he was gesturing at it when a would-be assassin’s bullet grazed his ear at a July campaign event. The chart includes errors and distortions, including a marker showing Trump leaving office in April 2020, the first full month of the COVID pandemic, when migration plummeted. Trump in fact left office in January 2021, after several months of increased migrant apprehensions.
- Adriana Gomez Licon, “How Trump Credits an Immigration Chart for Saving His Life — and What the Chart Is Missing” (Associated Press, Associated Press, October 3, 2024).
Washington Post columnist Philip Bump rebutted claims, including those made by JD Vance in Tuesday’s vice-presidential candidates’ debate, that migrants are contributing to crime, fentanyl smuggling, and higher U.S. housing costs. PolitiFact, the Associated Press, and Melvis Acosta at Mother Jones addressed other spurious claims made in the debate, including Vance’s allegation that DHS has “effectively lost” 320,000 unaccompanied migrant children.
- Philip Bump, “Republicans Keep Inventing New Ways to Scapegoat Immigrants” (The Washington Post, October 2, 2024).
- “2024 Vp Debate: Fact-Checking Jd Vance and Tim Walz” (PolitiFact, October 2, 2024).
- Melvis Acosta, “Don’t Let Vance Fool You—Trump Would Separate Millions of Families.” (Mother Jones, October 2, 2024).
The Project on Government Oversight published allegations that DHS Inspector General Joseph Cuffari, a key official for oversight of border security agencies, has engaged in a prolonged effort to undermine investigations into his own misconduct, especially claims of whistleblower retaliation. Cuffari is under investigation by the Integrity Committee, a federal panel that oversees inspectors-general, for retaliating against whistleblowers who reported delays in DHS reports, including a report on migrant family separations.
- Nick Schwellenbach, “A Watchdog’s War on Oversight” (Project on Government Oversight, October 2, 2024).
On the Right
- Robert Henneke, “Harris Really Does Have a Magic Wand for the Border” (Texas Public Policy Foundation, The Hill, October 2, 2024).
- Joseph Curl, “Why Democrats Have Opened America’s Southern Border” (The Washington Times, October 2, 2024).