Adam Isacson

Still trying to understand Latin America, my own country, and why so few consequences are intended. These views are not necessarily my employer’s.


The drop in Border Patrol apprehensions leveled off in April

Border Patrol reported its April apprehensions of migrants at the U.S.-Mexico border last week, when I was traveling at the border. The 11,129 migrants apprehended last month broke February’s and March’s records for the fewest since Border Patrol started making monthly records available, in October 1999. But the 9 percent month-on-month decline was less steep, […]

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What is the “Trump Effect” on Migration? It’s Too Early to Draw Conclusions

WOLA just posted a new commentary that I drafted, which seeks to put into context the shocking recent U.S.-Mexico border migration statistics. February and March saw the fewest migrants apprehended at the U.S.-Mexico border since available records began in 1999. The arrival of Donald Trump and his anti-immigrant rhetoric clearly has something to do with that. But […]

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Numbers do show a “Trump effect” on migration

These statistics are from an upcoming WOLA memo analyzing sharp recent changes in undocumented migration to the United States. There was a lot of migration during the last quarter of 2016, especially children and families from Central America. And now there is a very sharp drop since mid-January. As that WOLA memo will explain, both phenomena—the […]

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A “Trump Effect?”: New WOLA Podcast on migration and the border

I recorded a new WOLA Podcast this morning with colleagues Maureen Meyer and Hannah Smith from WOLA’s Mexico and Migration programs: U.S. statistics showed a sharp drop in migration from Mexico, and especially from Central America, in February. WOLA’s Adam Isacson, Maureen Meyer, and Hannah Smith talk about what is happening and what now awaits […]

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The past week in U.S. border security

The Trump administration will issue its initial “top line” budget request to Congress today. Word is it will include $1.5 billion to start border-fence construction in 2017, and $2.6 billion for 2018. Families in south Texas’s Rio Grande Valley are already getting notices from the federal government requiring them to sell their private land abutting […]

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February migration: a blip, or a “new normal?”

The U.S. Border Patrol reported apprehending 18,762 migrants at the U.S.-Mexico border in February. This is the lowest number of migrants encountered in any month since 2000, the first year for which Border Patrol makes monthly records available [PDF]. The sharpest drops were in the number of unaccompanied children (1,922, down from over 7,000 in November and December) […]

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